Japan is presently dealing with a significant political turmoil due to a corruption scandal that has revealed ongoing problems within the ruling Liberal Democratic Party (LDP). This issue, resulting in the resignation of four cabinet members in a matter of weeks, has thrown Prime Minister Fumio Kishida’s leadership into disarray. With approval ratings falling to an all-time low of 17%, Kishida is under increasing pressure to regain public confidence and bring stability to his government.
The controversy is focused on accusations that LDP officials improperly handled money acquired from ticketed political gatherings. It is reported that large sums—possibly reaching 1 billion yen (around $6.8 million)—were concealed from official documentation. This money, supposedly utilized as secret funds to uphold political networks and gain influence, has sparked concerns about responsibility and openness in Japan’s political landscape.
The scandal has notably involved the Abe faction, a dominant group within the LDP named after the late former Prime Minister Shinzo Abe, who was assassinated last year. This faction, with almost 100 members, has historically exerted considerable influence on government policy. Investigations have also extended to other factions within the LDP, including one linked to Kishida, heightening public anger over the extensive nature of the wrongdoing.
The controversy has particularly implicated the Abe faction, a powerful group within the LDP named after former Prime Minister Shinzo Abe, who was assassinated last year. This faction, comprising nearly 100 lawmakers, has long held significant sway over government decisions. Investigators have also targeted other factions within the LDP, including one connected to Kishida himself, intensifying public outrage over the widespread nature of the misconduct.
The practice of hosting ticketed events for political fundraising is a common one in Japan. Politicians are required to report income from these events, but the allegations indicate that many LDP members underreported or concealed excess funds. These hidden resources were allegedly redirected to personal accounts or used to secure loyalty from political allies in regional offices, a form of influence-peddling that critics argue undermines democratic principles.
The fallout from this scandal has been swift and severe. Among those who resigned are Hirokazu Matsuno, the Chief Cabinet Secretary, and three other senior ministers: Trade Minister Yasutoshi Nishimura, Internal Affairs Minister Junji Suzuki, and Agriculture Minister Ichiro Miyashita. Matsuno, who was considered Kishida’s closest ally and a central figure in coordinating government policy, stepped down after the opposition intensified calls for accountability. His resignation, alongside others, has left Kishida’s cabinet in disarray, forcing the prime minister to initiate an urgent reshuffle.
Despite Kishida’s efforts to distance himself from the scandal—he even withdrew from his faction to avoid association with the allegations—his government’s credibility has taken a significant hit. While he has not been directly implicated in the misconduct, prosecutors have indicated that his faction is under scrutiny, further eroding public confidence. Kishida has vowed to tackle the issue head-on, promising reforms to improve transparency and accountability in political fundraising. However, many analysts remain skeptical about whether his administration can regain the trust of the electorate.
This crisis comes at a time when Kishida’s leadership was already under strain. Since assuming office in 2021, his tenure has been marked by controversies, including his party’s links to a divisive religious organization and public backlash over his son’s use of the prime ministerial residence for personal purposes. Combined with growing dissatisfaction over rising living costs and inflation, this corruption scandal adds another layer of discontent among voters.
The absence of a strong opposition only worsens this problem. While several opposition parties have condemned the LDP’s management of the scandal, they are largely seen by the electorate as disorganized and ineffectual. The Democratic Party of Japan’s (DPJ) difficult period in power from 2009 to 2012, marked by the fallout from the Fukushima nuclear disaster, still adversely affects public trust in options outside the LDP. Consequently, many voters find themselves stuck accepting the current state, thinking that no political party can successfully tackle the systemic problems.
Experts argue that although this scandal might undermine Kishida’s standing, it is unlikely to lead to substantial changes within the LDP or the wider political environment. The deeply rooted practice of utilizing unofficial funding methods to sustain political clout is firmly embedded in Japan’s political framework, and many politicians gain from these customs. Without a unified desire within the party to transform these standards, significant reform seems unlikely.
Nonetheless, there could still be repercussions for the LDP’s internal dynamics. The departure of major figures linked to the scandal might alter the power distribution within the party, possibly impacting decision-making on matters like tax policy, defense budgets, and international relations. While Kishida’s commitment to reform politics and introduce tighter fundraising regulations might result in some gradual adjustments, experts advise against anticipating a sweeping transformation.
However, there may still be consequences for the LDP’s internal dynamics. The removal of key figures associated with the scandal could shift the balance of power within the party, potentially influencing policy decisions on issues such as tax reforms, defense spending, and foreign relations. Kishida’s pledge to clean up politics and implement stricter regulations on fundraising may lead to some incremental changes, but experts caution against expecting a comprehensive overhaul.
This scandal also underscores broader concerns about the state of Japanese democracy. The combination of political apathy, limited electoral competition, and systemic corruption poses a significant challenge to governance in the world’s third-largest economy. While Japan is often praised for its stability and efficiency, incidents like this highlight the need for greater accountability and citizen engagement to strengthen its democratic institutions.
In the coming months, Kishida’s ability to navigate this crisis will be closely watched both domestically and internationally. With a general election not due until 2025, he has some time to stabilize his government and rebuild public trust. However, his declining approval ratings and the persistent shadow of corruption within the LDP suggest that this will be no easy task. Whether Kishida can turn this moment of crisis into an opportunity for reform remains uncertain, but the stakes for his administration—and for Japanese democracy—could not be higher.